Preview of Week 4 Matchup – The Los Angeles Rams versus the New York Giants: Four Point Stance

Rams versus GIants

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The Los Angeles Rams come home after a two-week East coast road trip to face the New York Giants, a game that features teams that are going in two different directions. The game will be on Sunday, Oct 4 at 4:05 PM ET.

1st Stance: Offense

The Giants (0-3) are one of seven teams that are still without a win and their total offense ranks near the bottom of the NFL averaging 12.7 points per game – only the New York Jets are lower at 12.3 points per game. Their own media sums it up best calling out the play of the offensive line, the quarterback and the running game, giving them an overall ‘F’ for a grade. The season-ending loss of RB Saquon Barkley certainly does not help and the Giants are searching for answers.  The Giants offense is so bad, the leading rusher is Daniel Jones, quarterback, at 7.7 yards per carry – higher than his yards per attempt as a thrower at 6.2.  This is a trend that should have the staff and fans concerned.

The Rams (2-1) on the other hand are moving in the right direction. The offense boasts some good numbers three weeks into the season. QB Jared Goff is off to a career-best start statistically (8th in total yards, 1st in yards/attempt, 9th in completion percentage, 7th in QBR with a minimum of 50 attempts) and looks very sharp. The running game has been, surprisingly, very good as well. Although there is an approach to ‘run by committee’, RB Darrell Henderson is the highest ranked running back per pro football focus. The offensive line and receiving core have also been outstanding this season and when Goff is not under pressure, he has completed ~96.6% of his passes.

Do not expect much from the Giants offense and the Rams could score quickly and often, possibly leading to a blowout. The Rams are top five on offense and the Giants are at or near the bottom, offense is a clear win for the Rams.

2nd Stance: Defense

The Giants had an embarrassing defensive game on Sunday. The depleted San Francisco 49ers played the game without their starting quarterback, top two running backs and arguable the best tight end in today’s NFL and scored 36 points in the Giants house. The defense did not force any turnovers and the 49ers did not punt and basically dominated with a second-squad on the field.

The Rams had a let-down performance last week against the Buffalo Bills. Quarterback Josh Allen killed the Rams in both the middle of the field and in the red zone last week, something the Rams need to fix. It looks like rookie Jordan Fuller is critical to stopping the run as Devin Singletary had a big day in his absence. The bright spot for the Rams defense last Sunday was, again, Aaron Donald. Donald had his best game of the season with two sacks and a forced and recovered a fumble. His maniacal play in the second half had Allen pressured unlike he had been in the first half and gave the Rams a chance to come back from a 25 point deficit.

The Giants defense will struggle against the Rams and the Rams will not struggle as much against the offense of the Giants as they did against the Bills. QB Daniel “Danny Dimes” Jones will have opportunities, but he is no Josh Allen. A huge advantage for the Rams.

3rd Stance: Special Teams

The Giants have a proven and solid kicker in Graham Gano. Last week he hit field goals of 52, 42, and 47 yards. The Rams rookie kicker Samuel Sloman is shaky at best and unless the Rams are way ahead in the score and get stalled deep into Giant territory, look to the Rams to go on 4th down more than they normally would. Fortunately for the Rams, this will not be a game of field position and will not be decided by field goals – edge to the Giants, but they are going to need touchdowns versus field goals to have a chance.

4th Stance: Intangibles

For this matchup, there are some storylines that are worth mentioning:

  • Coaching – Sean McVay versus first-year coach Joe Judge. Judge has a pedigree is coming form the New England Patriots coaching staff, so he knows what winning looks like but has yet had a chance to show it. From an experience and record perspective, this is not close and McVay comes out on top.
  • Trend/Mojo – The stock is way down for the Giants as they have started the season 0-3 and another loss is likely to get them to think about draft positions for next year. The stock on the Rams leveled out a little with a tough loss on the road to the Bills. With a brutal start to an NFL schedule, most Rams fans would have taken 2-1 before the start of the season. Mojo is heavily in the Rams favor for this game.
  • Key Injuries: As of posting:
  • Weather is will not be a factor as the game will be at SoFi stadium.

Prediction

This game looks to be a blow-out, Rams win big 45-16.

 

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