New Orleans Saints wide receiver Michael Thomas is set to miss the first couple weeks of the 2021 season due to needing surgery to repair torn ligaments in his ankle. Waiting this long in the offseason is certainly a head scratcher. Thomas is set to miss at least 4-5 weeks of the regular season. What does this mean for fantasy football players on draft day?
Michael Thomas’ Value
Michael Thomas’ fantasy football ADP before this announcement was made on Friday was in the late third round as a WR2 for most rosters. Now, this could push the New Orleans Saints wide receiver’s ADP to the mid-rounds closer to the sixth or seventh round territory.
The could be great value for fantasy football players. Despite dealing with the same injury last season, if we look at the games he was available, his numbers didn’t look to bad. With Hill at quarterback for four weeks, Thomas was able to record 343 yards on 30 receptions with 37 targets. However he was unable to find the end zone. Thomas as your WR3/4 on your roster with a pair of stud wide receivers as your WR1 & WR2 could be championship formula. People forget quickly he was the WR1 overall just two seasons ago.
The Impact of Michael Thomas’ Injury
The New Orleans Saints will be looking for the next man up. A lot of buzz on the wire about Marquez Callaway as a potential players to grab on the waiver wire. The rookie had one game last season in which he stood out. During Week 7 Callaway recorded 8 receptions on 10 targets with 75 yards. However, that was his only fantasy relevant week.
There’s upside for Callaway, but unless you’re desperate, there’s no reason to spring to the waiver wire to pick him up or draft him in fantasy football. The Saints could bring in a free agent or make a trade.
I’d pump the brakes on Tre Quan Smith as well. Adam Trautman could make some noise as the TE1 for the Saints with the Jared Cook exit. There’s no reason to overdraft these young unproven pass catchers.
The only one to truly benefit from the targets now available with Thomas out with injury has to be Alvin Kamara. Kamara could easily see 8-10 targets out the backfield with or without Thomas on the field. He seems to be the only guy that could get a true bump in ppr value in this unfortunate situation.
Michael Thomas will miss time but hopefully not on your fantasy football rosters. When he returns it maybe a slow start just to ease him into to things, but the wait will be worth it once the targets and catches start racking up.
The New Orleans Saints quarterback situation also needs to be taken into consideration. It’s only the middle of July and we still don’t know who the starting quarterback is between Hill and Jameis Winston. The quarterback situation could also factor into a slow start for Thomas once he does return.
I wouldn’t recommend starting him out the gate in your line ups. Wait a week or two just to see how things are panning out with that recovered ankle surgery. Good Luck. Draft Smart.