Los Angeles Rams: 2020 Offensive Stat Projections

by Blaine Grisak
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The Los Angeles Rams head into an interesting 2020 season. With no Todd Gurley, Brandin Cooks, or Cory Littleton, someone is going to have to pick up the slack. Will that be Cam Akers or Darrell Henderson, Van Jefferson or Josh Reynolds, and defensively will someone like Clay Johnston step in or will it be Micah Kiser and Kenny Young?

This is a team that will have a lot of numbers up for the taking. With that said, here are my 2020 Los Angeles Rams stat projections.

QB Jared Goff

346 completions-556 attempts
4,241 yards, 26 TDs, 12 INTs

These numbers may seem a little low for Goff, as the yards would be his fewest since 2017. But it’s hard not to see the Rams getting back to the basics and seeing McVay take a step back in 2020. That’s not necessarily taking a step back stat-wise, but taking a step back to look at the offense form a broad perspective and doing what works.

The Rams traded Brandin Cooks and could run a lot more 12 personnel this season. They drafted a running back in the second round and did not get a replacement as a deep threat on offense. To me, that could spell fewer yards and fewer touchdowns for Jared Goff.

However, while these numbers are less than what Goff has had the last two years, they are similar to what he had in 2017 in McVay’s first season. Just because the numbers aren’t big, doesn’t mean the results won’t be. An efficient Goff is a good Goff.

Running Backs – Cam Akers, Darrell Henderson, Malcolm Brown

Akers – 187 carries, 860 yards, 5 TDs
               23 receptions, 173 yards, 2 TDs

Henderson – 80 carries, 453 yards, 2 TDs
                        16 receptions, 129 yards, 1 TD

Brown – 93 carries, 362 yards, 3 TDs
                2 receptions, 23 yards, 0 TDs

Every year under McVay, the Rams have had around 340 carries distributed among their running backs. This will be a running back by committee, but Akers should still be the featured back. Given that he is a rookie, he could be worked in slowly which would keep him under 200 carries on the season.

Behind Akers is where the running back situation gets interesting. McVay has seemed to like Brown since he’s been in Los Angeles and he is the veteran of the group. He won’t be phased out of the offense. In fact, it wouldn’t be surprising to see him get a bulk of the carries early on. Henderson will get worked in, but it will most likely be as a change of pace back and in the passing game. With Brown in the fold, he’s probably still the third back in this group.

Wide Receivers – Robert Woods, Cooper Kupp, Van Jefferson, Josh Reynolds, Greg Dortch, Brandon Polk

Woods – 68 receptions, 897 yards, 4 TDs
                 16 carries, 115 yards, 1 TD

Kupp – 79 receptions, 1,023 yards, 8 TDs
              6 carries, 27 yards

Reynolds – 36 receptions, 463 yards, 2 TDs

Jefferson – 24 receptions, 311 yards, 2 TDs

Polk – 3 receptions, 17 yards

Dortch – 2 receptions, 14 yards   

These numbers may seem small for Woods and Kupp, but Woods’ target share remained the same as it has the last two years and Kupp’s actually increased. Reynolds would have career highs in receptions and yards with the numbers that I project and Jefferson would also be a decent part of the offense.

The Rams are going to use more 12 personnel this year which is why I believe Woods and Kupp take the majority of the target share while Reynolds and Jefferson end up relatively close together.

Tight Ends – Tyler Higbee, Gerald Everett, Bryce Hopkins Johnny Mundt

Higbee – 54 receptions, 700 yards, 4 TDs

Everett – 21 receptions, 279 yards, 1 TDs

Hopkins – 15 receptions, 194 yards, 2 TDs

Mundt – 3 receptions, 18 yards

These numbers seem relatively realistic for the Rams’ tight ends. If Higbee becomes a larger part of the offense, 700 yards seems like a realistic expectation while Hopkins and Everett split targets behind him. It’s hard to project Higbee just because we don’t know how involved he’ll be. However, if the Rams run more 12 personnel, he should produce.

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